Measuring Marathons with a Ruler
One of the most challenging aspects of being a prudent investor is recognizing the difference between short-term noise and long-term evidence. With billions of market data points available instantaneously 24/7/365, it’s easy to find yourself measuring what equates to a 26.2-mile journey with a 12” ruler. The investment industry and its corresponding news cycle aren’t much help here. We’re naturally conditioned to look at investment “results” in statistically noisy and historically very short time periods: calendar quarters, calendar years and even 3 to 5-year time frames. [...]